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29 December, 201129 December, 2011 0 comments Uncategorized Uncategorized

Recently, there are many experts speak of this, because a rise in the yuan, can cause a large domestic hot money inflow, China's property market and the stock market it will spring. They also took out in Japan, signed the plaza agreement, the yen was forced to rise, hot money inflow, pushing up the Japanese property and stocks. Not only that, the experts also took out the black stone company come to China company Qingdao investment real estate industry that it will have international hot money inflow domestic, like za Chinese just old foreign TaiJiaoZi....... Was this really the case? First of all, in those days the plaza agreement start is in 1985, in the five years after, the yen has risen more than 40%, and the stock and property each year, with a rate of more than 30% rise, has far more than the same MLB Jerseys period of Japanese each year on average GDP growth of 5%. That is, the bubble economy more and more distant from the real economy, the once Japan and China now, want to own a set of high prices for the Japanese national is a distant and things, no one believes that stock and property really down.

When the bubble burst, prices and market in the short term, down about 50% bank form lots of bad debt, the Japanese economy went into recession since the cycle. In fact, now called the international hot money will push the stock market and the buildings of view is incorrect, because China start real yuan reform is in 2005, since 2005 RMB remit rate rise on unilateral, now increase has 23%, if international hot money to come in copy building, the city a few years ago is certainly prime time, and now the international hot money come in copy floor copy should face three big risk: 1, the housing bust has been very heavy, the Chinese government is down, nobody on the adventure to copy the tall buildings; 2, June yuan reform since the restart, the dollar modest rise in 1.5% only, this means that the exchange rate of the yuan will be elastic, is the rise and fall of, and not as past unilateral rising. 3, China's foreign exchange control is very strict, for the short term a lot of international hot money inflows into China, has attracted to the safe statement. So if the international hot money borrowed money to copy the high people's appreciation of China's capital market with slight analysis, will feel ridiculous. It seems to me, now of the China property market and the stock market is already in Japan in 1989, the stock market bubble market as burst, on NFL Jerseys the eve of the 1985 years and not the plaza agreement signed, foam both will be blowing at that moment, to know that in 1985, the Japanese stock market without what basic housing bubble, and in 2005 after yuan reform China stock and property are no big problem, just as the international hot money looking into the big prime time, although the foreign exchange control than Japan's strict, but idle money can through to foreign investment and underground way gradually into such as domestic, dormant in domestic assets of the market.

 

 

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28 December, 201128 December, 2011 0 comments Uncategorized Uncategorized

The national bureau of statistics two officers of the king, ShiFa and donate, recently with China's reform foundation of the national economy, deputy director of institute dr Europe to take on "ZuiZhang". They in the national bureau of statistics official website published articles, Europe, and the calculation method and the investigation of the sample selection, puts forward the opinion points, think its findings serious overvalued, but also said "we would like to with everyone together improvement income statistics". By the way, they are based on personal name to specialized study this than in the past the official organizations frequently organization by collective criticism, it is a kind of progress. You must have already paid close attention to, be discussing dr Europe, and the group, in the grey income and national income distribution ", in the report to get the set of data: according to calculate, in 2008 the disposable income of urban and rural residents and the total is 23.2 trillion yuan, according to the national bureau of statistics resident income than higher than the survey NFL Jerseys results, 9.3 trillion yuan more than the national bureau of statistics "capital flows" the resident of disposable income above 5.4 trillion yuan calculation. 9.3 trillion yuan are called "hidden income", 5.4 trillion yuan is regarded as "grey income".

And most everyday people, I this ordinary people care more about the two astonishing number: 9.3 trillion yuan and 5.4 trillion yuan. We have no right to Europe, and the survey method and dr data gossiping, although the national bureau of statistics professionals think the results serious overvalued, but with a little to look at a few around eyes to see, there are huge recessive and grey income did not appear in the official statistics reports. For example, to sales offices and see it. A few days ago, in nanjing "2 years old girl has 4 million villa" news, my grandfather and grandmother, father mother and child of five people, have been aired before 4 suite two cars, but this time we buy villa was first loan. Children's grandfather and father two generations in the monopoly enterprise, high income is natural, but four suites are not loans, may also have considerable hidden income source. Beijing some residential zone member, to listen to the news, the mouth a pie: 4 million? Because, in their hand to buy a house, a one-time payment, frequently they of tens of millions of dollars, even tens of millions of dollars in there. Some customers, mix, accidentally can reveal that, their work is neither business nor investment; Some buy commercial real estate customers, will bring a pile of id card, but the contact person and telephone is the same a; Some Wholesale MLB Jerseys customers, also with kindergarten children the attorneys. Clever as you, have a guess, these are some of the house money, may belong to hidden income even gray income. But, also just guess. About gray income, Europe, and the doctor says, "the most main have two kinds of cases, the first is the legal regulations didn't clearly define the legal or illegal income, including those who violate compasses discipline but not illegal income; the second is in fact illegal, but no clear evidence of illegal income." grey income "main sources include: around the corruption and produce power rent-seeking behavior; public funds, public resources because management is lax, caused by the improper loss and unreasonable allocation, improper distribution of land profit; monopoly industries and their employees supra-normal income."

 

 

 

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27 December, 201127 December, 2011 0 comments Uncategorized Uncategorized

Experts and scholars in the debate absorbed some points, can on the other side of the argument see a shortage of; Developers in debate see some sense, can be in the market competition of see a little hope. In arguing the government learned some dynamic, can in policy decision making to see see a little in the direction. Three, market development way tend to be more rational. 2010 years of real estate market is not not strong: in such a harsh control policies under, in so the saliva of the war, in so the world economic situation, house prices did not appear people expect sell-off, let alone crash, there is only a rapid rise in house prices the momentum got the curb, parts of the city house prices concussion adjustment appear even NBA Jerseys callback, a few of the city is rising house prices; There is only the volume down significantly. Can't say, the real estate market is not subject to government regulation, after all, the trend of rising house prices too quickly to get a preliminary combat; Can't say, the real estate market appears crazy. After all, who is not willing to see the collapse of the industry, the market of the depression;

Can't say the real estate market has no medicine can save, after all the rules of market economy is not allow to neglect, regulation can curb the trend of prices rise, can let the market into shock and adjustment, but can not change the trend of the medium and long term. In our country is still in the prime of rigid demand, in China's urbanization rate is still growing, China's national economy is in in high growth, in our country land system still no fundamental change, in China's economy is not a new engine to replace it, when the inflation expectations of the momentum is still not really get change, in people's housing consumption idea has not completely change, in affordable housing have not become the mainstream of supply, in the supply of commodity house have not been sufficient to satisfy a requirement, in the money flow is not sharply tightened, want to let a fall in house prices, it is difficult. We need, is the rational development of the real estate market, the healthy development, stable development. No inflation, no slump, not hype, not to follow suit. After 2010 NFL Jerseys years of regulation baptism, after 12 years of ups and downs, and experienced rapid the initial stage of development of the real estate market has crossed that young of growth period, marched into the youth growth, will gradually grow up and even will slowly mature. Don't be too exacting, don't blame, not too, thorough, and real estate market is going to grow in. 2010 years of real estate, which is in control in the growth.

 

 

 

 

 

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26 December, 201126 December, 2011 0 comments Uncategorized Uncategorized

Real estate is most the urban middle, small endowment assets is life. If the last unfortunately prove, the existing house with only a few more decades life, then, the life there will be great changes. People in a house live 10 years or so, the most sensible choice is to sell it, because the next day more and more close to discard of the house and not only devalued rise, but the question is who will take over? As for the mortgage slave is more depressed, they may even loans were not over, the house is close to scrap. People don't know, if built in today's house of a commodity in 30 years time after the break into the dangerous, his property will be how to preserve. Now the house is already very high volume rate, will be rebuilt, and developers obviously can't tear open bungalow that improve as volume rate to profit, the country will pay subsidies for the reconstruction of the house? Many people worry about the provisions of NBA Jerseys the law in 70 property rights, hope to know after 70 own the house belongs to the who, but, in the house generally live not sure, under the premise of anxiety after 70 things, not the?

And this is for real estate developers it might be a good news, because they will always something to do, even if we have to future generations land is sold out, real estate developers can also from growing old and new in a profit. Our house since that commodity house, nature is also one of the goods, if the authorities will treat as general goods to the expiration of the house, legal service life should be clear and to guarantee, that is again good also but.......
As secretary li introduced it, sanmenxia apple high output, good color and luster, quality, good nutrition is rich, but according to the actual situation, sanmenxia fruit is still not fully in the market share of the proportion of the occupied due, party secretary initiative "make selling", not only in the presence of the high-profile "media flashed out of sanmenxia fruit card, but also to the general consumers make a solemn promise. The marketing, show the image of sanmenxia. The benefit of the masses without incident. According to the provincial NFL Jerseys party committee secretary LuZhanGong scientific delicate, sanmenxia cadres and the general fear not deterred, but the courage to take responsibility on the shoulders, dare to trample on the difficulties.

 

 

 

 

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25 December, 201125 December, 2011 0 comments Uncategorized Uncategorized

Fall for industrial men went to the Midwest migration, and fall for capital market big alligator, they had become the protagonist of the capital market, a fair that get through industry and finance, is actually accomplished from the businessmen of the capitalists to transformation. Foreign capital to enter comes viciously, focus on China's industry whole layout, from east to west resources layout break-neck, for potential manufacturing enterprise will never pass, compared with the name in China of cic overseas investment in income, let alone foreign financial institutions in our country the bank listed tides in the income gained by the, said the exit zhongjin just won a $700 million huge gains, plus allow set up a joint venture brokers in-depth mainland China, and the new development of NHL Jerseys xinqiao out five years earnings over the 7 times. This is a looted, in fact, it did not become a shenzhen development bank special market, just past bad loans through the integration of assets a force. If not the watch, the tragedy of shenzhen development will repeat itself, it means that China's large listed state-owned Banks suffering to suffer again. Current fund has been in including agriculture, minerals, consumer, pharmaceutical, environmental protection and even shoes etc bs tight dragnet, it is no exaggeration to say that China's this years capitalists of the golden age, will be global capital hurrah, and China's all by the businessmen and industrialists industrial cooperation, to structure.

How to make the best use of the local funds, make the competitiveness of local funds and fair competitive environment, and in the major Banks listed, once again we have before us. To make good use of local competitiveness, China will have industrial upgrading of gold s, promote foreign investment only rely on weak system, China will in a capital play time, high foreign debt in power in years. Can we make the first defeat called pay your tuition, the second is to defeat the kingdom people crime. Note: from this to see, the economy on a transfer. This article is a month domestic observation and thinking of the results. Village head case have the result. 19, at around 4 am, the family members of the QianYun will have signed the agreement of the compensation in the accident, hit-and-run square compensation by RMB 1.05 million yuan. Never accused village head family, and their various pressure stranger, I'm afraid it is hard to imagine. Believe it will be a mirror, and shine, penetrate ancient soccer jerseys and modern. Someone in the message blamed why not believe in the results of the survey, please put the interests clear, logic is fruity pick, then accused. Rational reason things out, other need not said. Morning and friends to see the du fu thatched cottage, snow flakes, voices ji ji, the red walls green bamboo set off. All the way recalls life and du fu poems, linger unceasingly.

 

 

 

 

 

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23 December, 201123 December, 2011 0 comments Uncategorized Uncategorized

Global economic turbulence, developing countries economic and monetary back and forth the fluctuation, does not mean that the global economy will two times the agent. The German economic growth in 2010 after a fresh record highs, the American economy could even in seven years fastest rate. At present for the emerging markets, the best result is the European central bank and China could ease the pressure on the appreciation of the interest rates. China is the world's monetary easing of the victim, during the eleventh five-year plan, build overheating, resulting in China is facing long-term inflation pressure. Economic growth while declined, but oil resources such as prices continue to rise, forty percent thermal power the losses of the enterprise requirements ascending price, the human cost this two years in a sharp rise in the channel. The pearl river delta entrepreneurs notification is, 2010 human cost rise 30%, raw material costs rose 20% to 30%, is at a difficult degree date. The rise in the cost of the situation will not change, the central bank dilemma, both neither can be raised interest rates sharply in case of hot money into the borrowers bankruptcy, the government and can't restrain has the horse project, the money will keep the norm, not too crunch, lest in real estate investment fell sharply in the process of the economic collapse of the entity.

To solve the contradiction of economy is only one way to increase the people's livelihood investment, the result is rising inflation pressure, 30 years in the future of China will be a month to Japan dives and confirm not curious three hundred thousand yuan a month. Then, the Chinese one million yuan endowment can only live a poor days. Gold and oil prices unrest over and over again, it is the global economic reversal of the sign. China in the transition to a domestic demand, the price is inflation, while the United States during the transformation, export trade and employment for a key. February 2011, the global economy through the gold shows that change, developed countries continues improving, emerging market has been suffering from inflation in 2010, emerging market fast recovery, developed markets continue to shock the reversal pattern show. If the second half of the European central bank raised interest rates, it will be some relief, otherwise, global inflation could further deterioration. From China in the past the wage income, inflation and asset to cash speed, for the next 30 years, months salary is going to Japan's current level, to maintain the slightly decent middle class life. Note: another article in audit, cannot be shown to search HO blog it out. Weekend in guangzhou meet friends, hope can ride out hard to pass. As long as we persist. Busy penned in one day. Afternoon to faw Volkswagen new car release, thought will affect, and inform the company didn't affect them. Evening and a bunch of friends in financial absalom, and greatly hadthe harvest, the normal economic regression, choose the company will return to normal, and the not too radical, excessive pessimistic and optimism is not a good thing. Haven't write the market, for the idea of market did not change, in the narrow interval concussion, rising to see some high, but a little more than 3000.

 

 

 

 

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22 December, 201122 December, 2011 0 comments Uncategorized Uncategorized

On February 18 day night, the people's bank of China decided to, from February 24, 2011 on, raise deposit financial institutions RMB deposit reserve rate 0.5%. Although in the daytime in stock trading, the Shanghai index fell 27.17 points, seems to be the news reacted ahead, but the central bank to raise deposit reserve rate is not aimed at the market and to, but for inflation, recycling liquidity, stabilize prices needs. China's economy in the face of the inflation situation is undoubtedly is very serious. Although February 15, published by the national bureau of statistics the consumer price index (CPI) is 104.9, the same month than last year rose 4.9%, below market expectations. But with CPI inflation than cases of adjusting weight, January's CPI data obviously didn't get social acceptance. And the data are not able to reduce the current inflationary pressure. One is the current market liquidity soccer jerseys is very abundant. Because the impulse of banking lending early very intense, the banking industry in January this year loans to reach 104 million yuan. And according to media reports, February of loans in only a few days also has the issue. And, second, to the central bank bills in March of financing volume is bigger, at the same time because the central bank bills are relative to deposit interest rate for, lack of corresponding attraction, it also makes the money collecting speed slow. So, the central bank has raised reserve rate to recycling necessary liquidity in the market, reduce the impulse of banking lending, in order to reduce inflationary pressure. On the other hand is consumer prices momentum still do not have a depression. Especially in February and face the Spring Festival factors, some food price therefore continue to rise sharply. And, real estate prices are still continued to rise.

Although in the 2011 years, to the regulation of state property market continues to beat, around to also comes on stage in succession, but the national bureau of statistics released data showed that house prices in January, the national 70 large and medium-sized cities, there are 68 cities in the house prices continue to rise, or more than 10% of the city has 10. As home prices in the proportion of the CPI weight to be promoted, it also makes the CPI data to high very grim. And further recovery liquidity, no doubt, to suppress house prices rise further, promote house prices inflexion point will come soon. In addition, because the country since the last October, a wide range of drought, cropping the growth so severely affected, food prices rising very grim. And after the Spring Festival, "shortage" problem in all over the country are doing very outstanding, many governments improve migrant workers salary to attract workers. And the labor costs of increased, eventually will lead to increased the price of a product. Therefore, the pressure of the inflation situation, the central bank to raise deposit reserve rate to tighten liquidity is very be necessary, and the measure will also continue to implement it. Although the move will constitute the financing side to the stock NHL Jerseys market of pressure. But it is not the most direct pressure. After all the sources of capital stock market many, as long as the stock market has a money effect, social capital including residents' deposits will not invited, and strengthen the regulation of the property market in, fry building funds will flow to the stock market. More important is far more than the stock financing pressure in its reserve rate regulation measures on the influence of the stock market. In the stock market, how trend, the key or the stock market internal factors to decide, raise deposit reserve rate on the influence of the stock market is so limited.

 

 

 

 

 

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21 December, 201121 December, 2011 1 comments Uncategorized Uncategorized

China's stock markets will be from three aspects, the transformation of administrative review should quit from the color? Zhou xiaochuan three "not" to people like is sorrow? The people's bank of China announced late April 5, since April 6 on financial institutions RMB raised benchmark interest rates. Among them, the financial institutions one-year benchmark interest rates rise 0.25% respectively. After adjustment, the one-year deposit rate to 3.25%, in the benchmark one-year loan interest rate at 6.31%. This is the central bank, October 19, 2010 raised interest rates for the fourth time since. In view of the interest rates as early as expected in the first half, within the positive rates more big, to stock market tends to positive influence. On March 23, yi gang, vice governor of the central bank in Hong Kong university of science and technology at the economic development of China "BBS", the one-year deposit rate to 3% and the lending rate by more than 6%, relative to other countries MLB Jerseys the low interest rates or interest rates at zero, "I personally think China at present interest rate" very comfortable ", is too high will attract hot money."

Critics think it indicates the short term won't raise interest rates. I don't agree. The central bank raised interest rates actually is already established policy, and more senior also support the choice, think that by raising rates can be part of the contract price increases monetary factors. Yi, the so-called "very comfortable", actually for the central bank's monetary policy "praiseworthy, the taste is the subtext hold well. From the actual effect look, raise interest rates for the influence of the stock market from four aspects reflect: first of all, on the whole, raising interest rates in China in 2011, is the most important of macro economic control means one, although it will not solve all the problems, but it can restrain the inflation. I am more willing to raise interest rates as a necessity, not what is worth encourage measures. Now the inflation pressure is greater, but more than half is external input, but we adjust economy means limited, raising rates have forced to factors. But objective effect is not bad, at least we can calculate "all play big board 50". Look from the front, stable macroeconomic expected, the stock market is to the good. Second, China's currency on the frequently the performance for the "excess", and the root cause is NHL Jerseys still the economic structure adjustment is not in place. On the currency would quickly gathered to real estate and the circulation of commodities exchange area, and the education, medical care and other residents affordable investment growth is not obvious. On one hand, lack of money place starving, on the other hand, some circulation exchange field deformity inflation. The strange phase under, will inevitably lead to interest rates have raised interest rates too glass house should not throw stones. The raised interest rates to get back into the cycle, some small businesses hurt is inevitable.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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20 December, 201120 December, 2011 0 comments Uncategorized Uncategorized

From the truth of speaking, all parties have a reason, but consumers spend money once went out, the hand of the initiative is not, this is the common fault of the consumption in China, the bank is especially bad. Fourth, play karate. Words are false price is a pediatrician, play karate is true kongfu. From a lot of bulk order complaint case to look, there are a lot of people that group, send the goods that the website and completely different, fake, defective goods, DiaoBao, even some stand or businessmen directly closed for money what all don't give, disappeared, do you find who will go? Bulk order is a new kind of electronic commerce development mode, from popular perspective, and it really has development NFL Jerseys outlook, investors also is not a fool, but the new and more need to regulate the industry, safeguard the interests of the consumer, if let these characteristics to continue crazy go down, I think no matter how much you big investment stand, finally you will put their fate group walk!
There is a very easy to be official brought reference value: the annual gross domestic product and urban and rural per capita disposable income increase. Shanghai according to GDP growth rate of 8%, city residents' per capita income growth rate of 10.4%, invented a 8% of the index. Here the absurd and funny, a look at it and see. Describe a case, a home to 2 million if calculate, rising by 8%, is up 160000; A common citizen annual income for 100000 yuan, only guarantee wages rise 160%, to reach the level of 160000. Income growth in town level and gross domestic product prices to coordinate the regulation to do, just a "look beautiful", in fact "is not reasonable" approach. All not to get married for the purpose of fall in love, are all play rascal; Combined with the sentence, we can say that all not to lower prices for the purpose of the market regulation, is also play rascal. Still have a perspective, combined with the satirical novel "the article 22 JunGui" is concerned, the "or not super 8%", it is the last one JunGui: only crazy people can be allowed to from flight, but must offer application by oneself, but once you apply, just proves that you are a normal person. "Article 22 JunGui" NBA Jerseys the meaning of existence is that it can be specified above all article 21 rights, cross into zero or does not exist. We don't want to, the cities out of the "the control target", also become the "article 22 JunGui".

 

 

 

 

 

 

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19 December, 201119 December, 2011 0 comments Uncategorized Uncategorized


Kau pak kwan is not very old, because he just at 47 years old, but many years for jinshan toil, abnormal hard, and I don't know whether it would count as the early retirement? The problem is the position of the chairman of the golden hill who can take over? The answer is of golden hill has strong, can not give up of middle-aged talents, lei jun. Why to lei jun play? Is as fire fighting? I don't think so, I see speak popular some is "hold, speak good is to keep some son lei jun this golden signboard. Maybe the answer is very simple, as the current jinshan situation look, besides kau pak kwan has a powerful spiritual leader outside the taste, can live the shock of jinshan only lei jun, so he is not two candidates. Was the vice President of the lei jun as golden hill, with its in golden hill many years NFL Jerseys of work experience, and is almost the only takes over as the chairman of the board of the candidate. There is a problem, it is hard to say, lei jun why take over jinshan chairman, but not takes over as CEO? Don't because had done before this? Indeed, lei jun 1998 kingsoft has served as CEO, until in 2007 golden hill software listed, lei jun kingsoft outgoing President and CEO post, served as vice President. If as the position of a to do boring? I don't think, somebody else jobs leave apple still has to be back the apple regain a new life? Just think, reason perhaps has three.

First, busy? "Labor model" of the lei jun is, the more it line do and fight, multi-channel flowering, in the mobile Internet, games, e-commerce, etc all have a number of investment. Lei jun, a subsidiary of millet, more than playing with business, are the key to the development of The Times. Lei jun also made it clear that their future energy distribution will be: millet, play and golden hill. Obviously, the other business has let lei jun frenetic pace, when golden hill has to spend a lot of energy chairman, again when golden hill CEO let somebody else lei jun can't breathing. Please understand, he is a person, not god. Second, afraid of too hard? Recently, the chairman ChenYiZhou talking about everyone network on the retirement kau pak kwan, he said: "kau pak kwan character is free, CEO is a task is the most bitter world CEO job". So, when CEO for kau pak kwan is so hard for, so it is of course to lei jun, and what's more, LeiJunShen multitasker. Should say, most people understand that, after all the somebody else ever so hard for many years. Can only exclamation another line, whether for any CEO was like that: when CEO doesn't hurt!!!!! Thirdly, the loss NBA Jerseys outweights the gain? Kingsoft is also home to big companies, feeling better than the millet, lei jun is doing more to large scale play, etc, and is listed company, so lei jun press "millet and play and golden hill" energy distribution, does that mean he thinks in golden hill software too much energy seemed to the loss outweights the gain? Of course, this certainly can't say it, but further thinking is, jinshan to today this situation, the development prospect of how many big? No matter what, already in the mobile Internet, games, e-commerce, etc are many investment investors, perhaps many new field more let lei jun mind. Although the above what I think of three reasons for that may not be able to completely explain why lei jun jinshan chairman but not as as a CEO, but hallmarks of lei jun is still the shiny, jinshan cannot leave the lei jun, China software, the Internet and mobile Internet field also wants to see the figure of vigorous lei jun. Kau pak kwan old hero will continue to enjoy good health and all the best! Use the WPS people still remember you! Finally, a word with old hero kau pak kwan end bowen, and together with many young people said: "if from the start thinking about how to make money, I wouldn't have today. Not career and money. When you devote yourself to development, don't give you the money you also to do. Development, no mind consider reward. Only first achievement of industry, ability is qualified talk about pay."

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